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Red163
8853.2
23062.9
17758.5
Blue132
242327.8
13849.5
50937.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18210650150200250163132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
62.90.1
60.260.4
Auto17.3
Teleop35.0
End8.8
red by 13.4
138
#13
49.51.6
49.050.5
Auto12.1
Teleop29.5
End7.0
Second
177
#2
58.50.1
57.057.1
Auto11.7
Teleop34.7
End10.7
red by 21.3
509
#21
37.21.6
33.835.4
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End7.6
Third
88
#26
53.20.1
50.850.9
Auto11.0
Teleop32.5
End8.9
red by 25.4
2423
#43
27.81.6
25.927.4
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned