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Red121
169945.2
6136.1
46742.9
Blue118
905522.8
632860.0
124719.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13310150150200121118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#22
45.20.0
44.744.7
Auto15.1
Teleop22.7
End6.6
blue by 14.8
60.00.6
59.159.7
Auto19.4
Teleop30.9
End8.6
Second
467
#15
42.90.0
39.039.0
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End8.7
red by 20.1
9055
#39
22.80.6
20.621.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End8.3
Third
61
#36
36.10.0
37.337.3
Auto10.3
Teleop16.5
End9.6
red by 16.4
1247
#45
19.70.6
19.520.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsEarned50%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned