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Red151
173544.1
804648.6
5839.0
Blue115
172938.7
107347.0
50126.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14610850200151115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.60.9
49.850.8
Auto14.2
Teleop24.3
End9.4
red by 1.6
1073
#18
47.00.6
46.647.2
Auto13.0
Teleop25.8
End8.0
Second
1735
#12
44.10.9
41.742.7
Auto10.2
Teleop25.4
End8.1
red by 5.5
1729
#20
38.70.6
37.037.6
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End8.6
Third
58
#42
39.00.9
40.841.7
Auto12.3
Teleop19.0
End7.9
red by 12.3
501
#44
26.70.6
22.322.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.4
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
88%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned