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Red106
234241.7
50937.2
16648.1
Blue117
632860.0
50126.7
217038.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13612680100120160180200106117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#30
48.11.7
48.246.5
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End9.9
blue by 11.9
60.00.5
59.759.1
Auto19.4
Teleop30.9
End8.6
Second
2342
#37
41.71.7
43.041.3
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End7.4
red by 2.8
2170
#14
38.90.5
37.336.8
Auto8.4
Teleop21.6
End9.3
Third
509
#21
37.21.7
35.433.7
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End7.6
red by 10.4
501
#44
26.70.5
22.922.4
Auto6.5
Teleop12.4
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsMissed53%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned