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Red121
192247.0
242327.8
217038.9
Blue171
346766.8
13142.5
404140.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114155050100200250121171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.6
48.649.2
Auto10.7
Teleop28.7
End7.9
blue by 19.8
66.81.7
65.066.7
Auto16.5
Teleop38.5
End9.9
Second
2170
#14
38.90.6
35.836.4
Auto8.4
Teleop21.6
End9.3
blue by 3.7
131
#41
42.51.7
40.742.4
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End8.0
Third
2423
#43
27.80.6
26.827.4
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End6.5
blue by 13.1
4041
#27
40.91.7
38.840.5
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned