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Red126
16648.1
169945.2
107347.0
Blue155
172938.7
23062.9
46742.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1461506080100120160180200220126155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#30
48.10.8
46.946.2
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End9.9
blue by 14.8
230
#5
62.90.7
61.962.5
Auto17.3
Teleop35.0
End8.8
Second
1073
#18
47.00.8
45.945.1
Auto13.0
Teleop25.8
End8.0
red by 4.1
467
#15
42.90.7
41.542.1
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End8.7
Third
1699
#22
45.20.8
45.244.4
Auto15.1
Teleop22.7
End6.6
red by 6.5
1729
#20
38.70.7
38.138.8
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsEarned80%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsEarned