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Red156
217038.9
9559.7
23062.9
Blue106
13849.5
124719.7
173544.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16010350150200156106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
62.90.8
57.958.8
Auto17.3
Teleop35.0
End8.8
red by 13.4
138
#13
49.50.1
44.845.0
Auto12.1
Teleop29.5
End7.0
Second
95
#23
59.70.8
49.550.4
Auto13.6
Teleop34.3
End10.7
red by 15.6
1735
#12
44.10.1
37.737.9
Auto10.2
Teleop25.4
End8.1
Third
2170
#14
38.90.8
35.836.7
Auto8.4
Teleop21.6
End9.3
red by 19.2
1247
#45
19.70.1
21.621.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsEarned51%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsMissed