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Red176
176857.9
346766.8
16648.1
Blue180
23062.9
9559.7
206750.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177175140160200220176180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.2
66.666.8
Auto16.5
Teleop38.5
End9.9
red by 3.9
230
#5
62.90.4
62.462.8
Auto17.3
Teleop35.0
End8.8
Second
1768
#17
57.90.2
57.757.9
Auto13.7
Teleop34.1
End8.3
blue by 1.8
95
#23
59.70.4
59.259.6
Auto13.6
Teleop34.3
End10.7
Third
166
#30
48.10.2
47.948.1
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End9.9
blue by 2.5
2067
#29
50.60.4
50.150.5
Auto13.0
Teleop27.2
End9.1