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Red184
206750.6
9559.7
23062.9
Blue134
107347.0
192247.0
174049.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177151100120140160200220240184134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
62.90.5
61.962.4
Auto17.3
Teleop35.0
End8.8
red by 13.1
1740
#11
49.80.2
50.049.8
Auto14.0
Teleop27.1
End7.7
Second
95
#23
59.70.5
58.859.2
Auto13.6
Teleop34.3
End10.7
red by 12.7
47.00.2
47.347.0
Auto10.7
Teleop28.7
End7.9
Third
2067
#29
50.60.5
49.750.1
Auto13.0
Teleop27.2
End9.1
red by 3.6
1073
#18
47.00.2
47.247.0
Auto13.0
Teleop25.8
End8.0