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Red185
175762.2
169945.5
17668.1
Blue183
740758.1
23845.6
13368.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181179140150160170190200210220185183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
68.10.2
67.968.1
Auto16.9
Teleop39.8
End10.2
blue by 0.7
133
Unranked
68.90.3
68.568.9
Auto18.8
Teleop39.1
End10.7
Second
1757
Unranked
62.20.2
62.062.2
Auto15.0
Teleop35.1
End10.4
red by 4.1
7407
Unranked
58.10.3
57.858.1
Auto16.7
Teleop32.7
End6.9
Third
1699
Unranked
45.50.2
45.345.5
Auto15.5
Teleop22.9
End6.1
blue by 0.2
238
Unranked
45.60.3
45.345.6
Auto13.0
Teleop22.9
End9.5