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Red205
580458.7
174658.1
318459.7
Blue172
153864.9
441943.9
414364.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176182100150200250205172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#24
59.70.4
59.359.7
Auto15.4
Teleop35.4
End6.6
blue by 5.2
1538
#13
64.90.0
64.964.9
Auto15.3
Teleop39.8
End8.9
Second
5804
#26
58.70.4
58.258.7
Auto15.1
Teleop33.2
End8.4
blue by 5.4
64.00.0
64.064.0
Auto16.5
Teleop34.6
End10.9
Third
1746
#14
58.10.4
57.758.1
Auto13.1
Teleop35.6
End8.9
red by 14.3
4419
#34
43.90.0
43.843.9
Auto10.8
Teleop26.9
End6.4