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Red126
742828.2
466341.5
533841.2
Blue130
903022.5
580458.7
102350.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110135406080100120160180200126130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4663
#49
41.50.7
36.336.9
Auto10.5
Teleop23.2
End7.4
blue by 17.2
5804
#26
58.70.6
59.058.5
Auto15.1
Teleop33.2
End8.4
Second
5338
#66
41.20.7
41.542.2
Auto8.3
Teleop28.3
End4.5
blue by 9.4
1023
#19
50.60.6
41.941.3
Auto10.6
Teleop32.1
End8.0
Third
7428
#74
28.20.7
28.228.9
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End4.6
red by 5.7
9030
#64
22.50.7
22.922.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsMissed73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsMissed