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Red192
318459.7
599049.8
376747.7
Blue97
85752.2
555328.6
112351.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1581385010020025019297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#24
59.71.1
57.758.9
Auto15.4
Teleop35.4
End6.6
red by 7.5
857
#35
52.23.0
52.749.7
Auto13.7
Teleop29.6
End7.5
Second
5990
#53
49.81.1
49.050.1
Auto14.1
Teleop31.1
End4.4
blue by 1.6
1123
#59DQ
51.43.0
51.548.5
Auto11.6
Teleop31.3
End7.3
Third
3767
#16
47.71.1
46.247.4
Auto13.2
Teleop26.5
End7.2
red by 19.1
5553
#63
28.63.0
29.326.3
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned72%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsMissed