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Red154
95553.3
859257.4
321861.1
Blue136
300342.2
665731.8
494445.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18111550100150200250154136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#44
61.10.5
58.958.4
Auto14.4
Teleop33.4
End11.9
red by 16.1
4944
#56
45.01.3
44.846.1
Auto11.7
Teleop24.8
End8.2
Second
8592
#23
57.40.5
56.856.3
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End6.0
red by 15.2
3003
#55
42.21.3
40.942.3
Auto12.9
Teleop21.0
End8.0
Third
955
#37
53.30.5
52.451.9
Auto12.3
Teleop31.1
End8.8
red by 21.5
6657
#68
31.81.3
30.331.6
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
87%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned