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Red178
452268.9
393245.5
914047.1
Blue133
115644.9
181643.1
441943.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162133100150200250178133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.91.6
67.769.3
Auto15.1
Teleop40.1
End11.4
red by 24.0
44.90.3
44.344.6
Auto12.2
Teleop25.2
End7.8
Second
9140
#36
47.11.6
44.245.9
Auto13.4
Teleop26.2
End6.7
red by 3.2
4419
#34
43.90.3
42.142.4
Auto10.8
Teleop26.9
End6.4
Third
3932
#22
45.51.6
42.844.5
Auto8.7
Teleop29.7
End6.6
red by 2.3
1816
#39
43.10.3
41.942.2
Auto14.2
Teleop22.7
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned