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Red112
494445.0
690919.3
303963.6
Blue163
347852.0
500648.6
513551.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13416050100150200250112163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.61.1
62.661.5
Auto16.3
Teleop38.2
End7.9
red by 11.6
3478
#43
52.00.8
50.951.7
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End8.2
Second
4944
#56
45.01.1
46.145.0
Auto11.7
Teleop24.8
End8.2
blue by 6.6
5135
#41
51.50.8
50.851.5
Auto12.9
Teleop28.5
End9.3
Third
6909
#69
19.31.1
20.419.3
Auto7.9
Teleop8.1
End3.7
blue by 29.3
5006
#33
48.60.8
47.848.6
Auto10.3
Teleop29.2
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsMissed71%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned