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Qual 122023 Newton Division
Red152
599049.8
859257.4
728553.9
Blue117
316147.5
347852.0
162948.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172158120140180200220240152117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8592
#23
57.40.5
60.4→59.9
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End6.0
red by 5.4
3478
#43
52.02.6
52.5→50.0
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End8.2
Second
7285
#45
53.90.5
53.2→52.6
Auto14.6
Teleop33.0
End6.2
red by 4.9
1629
#52
48.92.6
49.7→47.1
Auto14.5
Teleop27.7
End5.8
Third
5990
#53
49.80.5
47.5→47.0
Auto14.1
Teleop31.1
End4.4
red by 2.3
3161
#57
47.52.6
48.1→45.6
Auto11.0
Teleop29.9
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned80%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned