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Qual 1222023 Newton Division
Red180
353872.4
555328.6
1155.2
Blue81
490538.6
296040.5
432950.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1601475010020025018081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#17
72.41.4
68.8→70.2
Auto15.6
Teleop44.1
End10.7
red by 22.0
4329
#3
50.43.9
52.8→48.9
Auto13.7
Teleop27.3
End9.7
Second
11
#30
55.21.4
53.8→55.3
Auto15.1
Teleop31.2
End8.0
red by 14.7
2960
#65
40.53.9
44.4→40.5
Auto12.6
Teleop22.6
End4.9
Third
5553
#63
28.61.4
27.1→28.6
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End6.5
blue by 10.0
4905
#47
38.63.9
42.5→38.6
Auto11.7
Teleop18.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned69%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned