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Red117
19565.8
316147.5
64315.5
Blue139
409948.3
102350.6
115644.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12215750100200117139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#18
65.80.1
65.765.5
Auto15.8
Teleop40.3
End7.8
red by 15.2
1023
#19
50.60.2
50.550.3
Auto10.6
Teleop32.1
End8.0
Second
3161
#57
47.50.1
47.647.5
Auto11.0
Teleop29.9
End6.9
blue by 0.8
4099
#11
48.30.2
47.547.3
Auto11.3
Teleop28.7
End7.7
Third
6431
#77
5.50.1
5.75.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.1
End2.4
blue by 39.4
44.90.2
44.644.4
Auto12.2
Teleop25.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
77%Sustainability oddsMissed86%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned