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Qual 1282023 Newton Division
Red170
441943.9
150153.3
95553.3
Blue153
908450.2
533841.2
183635.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15812450100200250170153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#40
53.31.4
51.9→53.3
Auto15.3
Teleop29.4
End7.5
red by 3.2
9084
#20
50.22.2
48.7→50.8
Auto12.3
Teleop29.0
End8.6
Second
955
#37
53.31.4
51.9→53.3
Auto12.3
Teleop31.1
End8.8
red by 12.1
5338
#66
41.22.2
39.0→41.2
Auto8.3
Teleop28.3
End4.5
Third
4419
#34
43.91.4
42.4→43.8
Auto10.8
Teleop26.9
End6.4
red by 8.7
1836
#42
35.22.2
33.1→35.2
Auto10.7
Teleop17.3
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned