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Red108
742828.2
357246.8
90054.1
Blue112
533841.2
85752.2
490538.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261526080100140160180200220108112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#5
54.11.6
49.548.0
Auto15.0
Teleop29.5
End8.5
red by 1.9
857
#35
52.21.8
57.455.6
Auto13.7
Teleop29.6
End7.5
Second
3572
#21
46.81.6
43.041.5
Auto9.8
Teleop27.5
End8.7
red by 5.7
5338
#66
41.21.8
42.240.4
Auto8.3
Teleop28.3
End4.5
Third
7428
#74
28.21.6
28.927.3
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End4.6
blue by 10.3
4905
#47
38.61.8
43.942.1
Auto11.7
Teleop18.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsMissed78%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned