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Red53
801516.2
690919.3
393245.5
Blue113
599049.8
64315.5
95553.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711335010015020053113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3932
#22
45.51.7
33.732.0
Auto8.7
Teleop29.7
End6.6
blue by 7.8
955
#37
53.30.6
55.554.9
Auto12.3
Teleop31.1
End8.8
Second
6909
#69
19.31.7
21.519.7
Auto7.9
Teleop8.1
End3.7
blue by 30.5
5990
#53
49.80.6
47.046.3
Auto14.1
Teleop31.1
End4.4
Third
8015
#71
16.22.1
19.016.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End4.3
red by 10.7
6431
#77
5.50.6
14.814.2
Auto2.6
Teleop1.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed70%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsMissed