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Red160
17956.0
162948.9
902327.4
Blue172
19565.8
146647.5
353872.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132199100150250160172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#12
56.01.5
57.759.3
Auto10.6
Teleop37.6
End6.9
blue by 16.4
3538
#17
72.40.4
69.769.2
Auto15.6
Teleop44.1
End10.7
Second
1629
#52
48.91.5
47.148.7
Auto14.5
Teleop27.7
End5.8
blue by 16.9
195
#18
65.80.4
68.868.4
Auto15.8
Teleop40.3
End7.8
Third
9023
#76
27.41.5
27.228.8
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End5.6
blue by 20.1
1466
#50
47.50.4
45.444.9
Auto15.9
Teleop24.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned99%Activation oddsEarned