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Red157
880835.3
566539.5
153864.9
Blue150
49462.3
357246.8
102350.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13115650100200250157150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#13
64.92.1
59.861.9
Auto15.3
Teleop39.8
End8.9
red by 2.6
494
#9
62.30.1
60.360.5
Auto16.9
Teleop34.7
End8.4
Second
5665
#10
39.52.1
34.636.7
Auto12.3
Teleop17.7
End9.7
blue by 11.1
1023
#19
50.60.1
43.043.1
Auto10.6
Teleop32.1
End8.0
Third
8808
#60Sur
35.32.1
31.433.5
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.9
blue by 11.5
3572
#21Sur
46.80.1
41.541.6
Auto9.8
Teleop27.5
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsEarned91%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned