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Qual 292023 Newton Division
Red90
580458.7
64315.5
801516.2
Blue134
555328.6
414549.8
411229.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941122040608012014016018090134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#26
58.70.8
59.2→58.4
Auto15.1
Teleop33.2
End8.4
red by 8.8
4145
#38
49.82.1
45.3→47.4
Auto9.5
Teleop32.1
End8.0
Second
8015
#71DQ
16.20.9
16.8→15.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End4.3
blue by 13.5
4112
#62
29.72.1
30.2→32.3
Auto8.2
Teleop14.2
End7.6
Third
6431
#77
5.50.8
14.2→13.4
Auto2.6
Teleop1.1
End2.4
blue by 23.1
5553
#63
28.62.5
27.4→29.9
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
22%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned