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Qual 312023 Newton Division
Red120
517232.8
409948.3
728553.9
Blue121
801629.6
761752.4
175759.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146155050100200250300120121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7285
#45
53.91.2
53.0→51.8
Auto14.6
Teleop33.0
End6.2
blue by 5.3
1757
#32
59.21.6
62.6→61.1
Auto15.1
Teleop32.3
End9.7
Second
4099
#11
48.31.2
46.7→45.5
Auto11.3
Teleop28.7
End7.7
blue by 4.2
7617
#15
52.41.6
51.7→50.1
Auto13.4
Teleop32.4
End6.4
Third
5172
#51
32.81.2
38.1→36.9
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End8.7
red by 3.2
8016
#54
29.61.6
30.3→28.7
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsEarned