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Red93
681718.5
527437.5
150153.3
Blue153
146852.1
303963.6
801516.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141395010015020025093153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#40
53.31.5
52.951.4
Auto15.3
Teleop29.4
End7.5
blue by 10.2
63.61.4
58.960.3
Auto16.3
Teleop38.2
End7.9
Second
5274
#58
37.51.5
36.134.6
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End7.8
blue by 14.6
1468
#29
52.11.4
49.450.8
Auto9.9
Teleop32.3
End9.0
Third
6817
#67
18.51.5
21.119.6
Auto8.2
Teleop5.9
End4.9
red by 2.3
8015
#71
16.21.4
19.220.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed36%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned