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Red182
90054.1
299256.9
432950.4
Blue154
517232.8
153864.9
347852.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158161140150170180182154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.91.6
53.755.2
Auto14.4
Teleop33.6
End8.4
blue by 8.0
1538
#13
64.90.4
64.464.0
Auto15.3
Teleop39.8
End8.9
Second
900
#5
54.11.6
47.849.3
Auto15.0
Teleop29.5
End8.5
red by 2.1
3478
#43
52.00.4
47.747.3
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End8.2
Third
50.41.6
47.248.8
Auto13.7
Teleop27.3
End9.7
red by 17.6
5172
#51
32.80.4
38.337.8
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned57%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned