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Qual 622023 Newton Division
Red177
728553.9
908450.2
85752.2
Blue105
146647.5
707235.2
500648.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162131050100200250177105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7285
#45
53.91.6
53.8→55.4
Auto14.6
Teleop33.0
End6.2
red by 5.3
5006
#33
48.61.5
49.7→48.3
Auto10.3
Teleop29.2
End8.8
Second
857
#35
52.21.6
50.6→52.2
Auto13.7
Teleop29.6
End7.5
red by 4.7
1466
#50
47.51.5
44.9→43.5
Auto15.9
Teleop24.3
End7.2
Third
9084
#20
50.21.6
43.9→45.5
Auto12.3
Teleop29.0
End8.6
red by 15.0
7072
#61
35.21.5
32.3→30.8
Auto10.6
Teleop16.7
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned66%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned