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Red104
183635.2
64315.5
353872.4
Blue190
414364.0
49462.3
17758.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107194050150250300104190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#17
72.40.8
68.767.9
Auto15.6
Teleop44.1
End10.7
red by 8.4
64.00.2
60.460.6
Auto16.5
Teleop34.6
End10.9
Second
1836
#42
35.20.8
31.130.3
Auto10.7
Teleop17.3
End7.5
blue by 27.1
494
#9
62.30.2
60.961.1
Auto16.9
Teleop34.7
End8.4
Third
6431
#77
5.50.8
11.710.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.1
End2.4
blue by 52.8
177
#28
58.40.2
58.959.2
Auto11.1
Teleop36.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsMissed94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned99%Activation oddsEarned