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Red152
859257.4
264256.0
393245.5
Blue104
801629.6
513551.5
906219.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16010250200250152104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8592
#23
57.40.3
58.458.6
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End6.0
red by 5.8
5135
#41
51.50.1
50.951.0
Auto12.9
Teleop28.5
End9.3
Second
2642
#31
56.00.3
50.650.8
Auto15.2
Teleop31.3
End8.1
red by 26.4
8016
#54
29.60.1
29.329.4
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End4.1
Third
3932
#22
45.50.3
38.038.3
Auto8.7
Teleop29.7
End6.6
red by 25.8
9062
#72
19.70.1
22.822.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsEarned46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsMissed