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Red158
533841.2
376747.7
19565.8
Blue143
527437.5
414549.8
728553.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160144050100200250300350158143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#18
65.80.7
67.568.1
Auto15.8
Teleop40.3
End7.8
red by 11.9
7285
#45
53.90.4
55.455.8
Auto14.6
Teleop33.0
End6.2
Second
3767
#16
47.70.7
44.244.9
Auto13.2
Teleop26.5
End7.2
blue by 2.1
4145
#38
49.80.4
47.748.1
Auto9.5
Teleop32.1
End8.0
Third
5338
#66
41.20.7
41.542.1
Auto8.3
Teleop28.3
End4.5
red by 3.6
5274
#58
37.50.4
34.635.0
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned55%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned