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Red117
665731.8
707235.2
357246.8
Blue157
162948.9
500648.6
1155.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10116650150200250117157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#21
46.81.0
43.844.7
Auto9.8
Teleop27.5
End8.7
blue by 8.4
11
#30
55.20.6
54.755.3
Auto15.1
Teleop31.2
End8.0
Second
7072
#61
35.21.0
30.831.8
Auto10.6
Teleop16.7
End8.1
blue by 13.8
1629
#52
48.90.6
47.848.4
Auto14.5
Teleop27.7
End5.8
Third
6657
#68
31.81.0
27.928.8
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End6.1
blue by 16.8
5006
#33
48.60.6
48.348.9
Auto10.3
Teleop29.2
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsMissed68%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned