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Red136
17758.4
181643.1
871727.2
Blue160
17956.0
409948.3
566539.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13915180100120160180200220136160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#28
58.40.4
59.258.8
Auto11.1
Teleop36.6
End8.4
red by 2.4
179
#12
56.01.0
57.058.0
Auto10.6
Teleop37.6
End6.9
Second
1816
#39
43.10.4
43.443.0
Auto14.2
Teleop22.7
End6.1
blue by 5.1
4099
#11
48.31.0
46.647.6
Auto11.3
Teleop28.7
End7.7
Third
8717
#75
27.20.4
29.128.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End4.3
blue by 12.3
5665
#10
39.51.0
36.537.5
Auto12.3
Teleop17.7
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsEarned72%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsEarned