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Red145
500648.6
300342.2
150153.3
Blue130
728553.9
555328.6
296040.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15213750100200250145130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#40
53.30.1
52.452.3
Auto15.3
Teleop29.4
End7.5
blue by 0.5
7285
#45
53.90.0
55.855.8
Auto14.6
Teleop33.0
End6.2
Second
5006
#33
48.60.1
48.948.9
Auto10.3
Teleop29.2
End8.8
red by 8.1
2960
#65
40.50.0
45.145.1
Auto12.6
Teleop22.6
End4.9
Third
3003
#55
42.20.1
41.040.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.0
End8.0
red by 13.6
5553
#63
28.60.0
29.329.3
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsMissed42%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsMissed