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Red158
513551.5
566539.5
908450.2
Blue80
64315.5
17956.0
490538.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1461155010020015880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5135
#41
51.51.3
50.651.9
Auto12.9
Teleop28.5
End9.3
blue by 4.5
179
#12
56.02.5
58.055.5
Auto10.6
Teleop37.6
End6.9
Second
9084
#20
50.21.3
45.146.4
Auto12.3
Teleop29.0
End8.6
red by 11.6
4905
#47
38.62.5
43.841.3
Auto11.7
Teleop18.7
End7.8
Third
5665
#10
39.51.3
37.538.8
Auto12.3
Teleop17.7
End9.7
red by 33.9
6431
#77
5.52.5
10.37.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsMissed