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Red122
17758.4
801629.6
500648.6
Blue139
102350.6
95553.3
681718.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149123050100200122139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#28
58.40.9
58.857.8
Auto11.1
Teleop36.6
End8.4
red by 5.1
955
#37
53.30.7
51.752.4
Auto12.3
Teleop31.1
End8.8
Second
5006
#33
48.60.9
48.947.9
Auto10.3
Teleop29.2
End8.8
blue by 2.0
1023
#19
50.60.7
47.448.1
Auto10.6
Teleop32.1
End8.0
Third
8016
#54
29.60.9
30.429.5
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End4.1
red by 11.1
6817
#67
18.50.7
19.320.0
Auto8.2
Teleop5.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
69%Sustainability oddsMissed58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned