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Red114
300342.2
466341.5
880835.3
Blue142
665731.8
174658.1
527437.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12013150100150200250114142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#55
42.20.0
40.940.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.0
End8.0
blue by 16.0
1746
#14
58.11.4
56.257.6
Auto13.1
Teleop35.6
End8.9
Second
4663
#49
41.50.0
40.440.4
Auto10.5
Teleop23.2
End7.4
red by 3.9
5274
#58
37.51.4
36.137.4
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End7.8
Third
8808
#60
35.30.0
32.432.4
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.9
red by 3.5
6657
#68
31.81.4
28.930.3
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed62%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed66%Activation oddsEarned