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Red50
23839.5
50124.9
183117.5
Blue106
15729.1
17232.2
568754.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8113005010015020025050106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#19
39.50.0
39.539.5
Auto12.0
Teleop19.5
End8.0
blue by 14.6
54.10.0
54.154.1
Auto14.5
Teleop31.7
End6.1
Second
501
#24
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto6.3
Teleop12.5
End6.4
blue by 7.3
172
#15
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4
Third
1831
#18
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End7.1
blue by 11.6
157
#17
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto11.3
Teleop12.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability odds41%Sustainability odds
Activation
74%Activation odds64%Activation odds