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Red109
172125.4
581340.7
632435.8
Blue92
13076.9
346760.4
454624.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119605015020025010992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.0
40.740.7
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End8.0
blue by 19.7
3467
#10
60.40.0
60.460.4
Auto15.0
Teleop35.4
End8.7
Second
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto11.9
Teleop18.1
End6.1
red by 11.2
4546
#21
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End8.2
Third
1721
#11
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto6.7
Teleop11.5
End7.2
red by 18.5
1307
#22
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability odds52%Sustainability odds
Activation
69%Activation odds54%Activation odds