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Red166
568754.1
271341.2
15729.1
Blue129
581340.7
237044.3
17232.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132124406080100140160180166129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.10.0
54.154.1
Auto14.5
Teleop31.7
End6.1
red by 9.8
44.30.0
44.344.3
Auto9.4
Teleop27.3
End6.2
Second
2713
#12
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto11.6
Teleop23.4
End6.2
red by 0.5
40.70.0
40.740.7
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End8.0
Third
157
#17
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto11.3
Teleop12.4
End5.7
blue by 3.0
172
#15
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4