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Red137
632968.5
346760.4
50124.9
Blue132
192243.6
23839.5
183117.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17097050150200250300137132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.50.0
68.568.5
Auto16.7
Teleop40.3
End8.8
red by 24.9
1922
#13
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto11.3
Teleop24.8
End7.4
Second
3467
#10
60.40.0
60.460.4
Auto15.0
Teleop35.4
End8.7
red by 20.9
238
#19
39.50.0
39.539.5
Auto12.0
Teleop19.5
End8.0
Third
501
#24
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto6.3
Teleop12.5
End6.4
red by 7.3
1831
#18
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End7.1