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Red150
490944.0
13369.4
13076.9
Blue146
568754.1
271341.2
15729.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130130100110120140150160150146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#3
69.40.0
69.469.4
Auto18.1
Teleop38.7
End12.3
red by 15.3
54.10.0
54.154.1
Auto14.5
Teleop31.7
End6.1
Second
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto13.1
Teleop23.7
End6.9
red by 2.7
2713
#12
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto11.6
Teleop23.4
End6.2
Third
1307
#22
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.9
End1.3
blue by 22.2
157
#17
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto11.3
Teleop12.4
End5.7