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Red159
791327.5
632966.8
13361.2
Blue119
5842.6
13139.9
50128.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17510850150200159119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.0
66.966.8
Auto16.5
Teleop40.8
End9.3
red by 24.2
58
#6
42.60.2
42.442.6
Auto14.3
Teleop19.7
End8.5
Second
133
#2
61.20.0
61.261.2
Auto19.3
Teleop30.2
End11.8
red by 21.3
131
#11
39.90.2
39.739.9
Auto11.0
Teleop21.9
End7.0
Third
7913
#26
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End5.6
blue by 0.7
501
#34
28.20.2
28.028.2
Auto5.1
Teleop14.8
End8.3