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Red126
632966.8
124720.6
804646.6
Blue112
151228.2
13361.2
590221.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12796406080120140160180126112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.7
57.858.5
Auto16.5
Teleop40.8
End9.3
red by 5.6
133
#2
61.21.0
53.154.0
Auto19.3
Teleop30.2
End11.8
Second
46.60.7
36.937.6
Auto13.4
Teleop23.7
End9.4
red by 18.4
1512
#38
28.20.9
24.725.6
Auto9.5
Teleop14.6
End4.1
Third
1247
#10
20.61.0
20.521.5
Auto7.2
Teleop8.4
End5.0
blue by 0.6
5902
#40
21.11.3
16.117.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned