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Red100
676219.6
31948.7
841034.6
Blue87
151228.2
791327.5
636719.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions856820406010012014010087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#5
48.70.8
40.341.2
Auto14.1
Teleop27.0
End7.6
red by 20.5
1512
#38
28.20.7
25.626.3
Auto9.5
Teleop14.6
End4.1
Second
34.60.8
24.325.1
Auto11.4
Teleop15.9
End7.2
red by 7.1
7913
#26
27.50.9
21.322.2
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End5.6
Third
6762
#19
19.61.1
13.014.1
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End3.3
red by 0.2
6367
#37
19.40.7
19.420.1
Auto10.7
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsEarned