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Red44
50128.2
17229.4
183117.5
Blue109
234242.5
151228.2
81127.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6584204010012014044109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#18
29.41.3
29.328.0
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End5.3
blue by 13.1
42.51.9
32.234.0
Auto13.8
Teleop20.2
End8.6
Second
501
#34
28.21.3
19.818.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.8
End8.3
Level
1512
#38
28.21.9
25.927.8
Auto9.5
Teleop14.6
End4.1
Third
1831
#28
17.51.4
14.112.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End7.1
blue by 9.7
811
#13
27.31.9
18.119.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
22%Activation oddsMissed17%Activation oddsEarned