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Red59
689522.8
731416.6
17229.4
Blue114
31948.7
632429.6
124720.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5997020408012014016059114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#18
29.40.1
28.028.0
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End5.3
blue by 19.3
319
#5
48.71.9
42.544.3
Auto14.1
Teleop27.0
End7.6
Second
6895
#39
22.80.1
19.519.4
Auto8.0
Teleop10.3
End4.5
blue by 6.8
6324
#12
29.63.1
23.526.6
Auto6.8
Teleop16.9
End5.9
Third
7314
#41
16.60.1
12.412.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End5.6
blue by 4.0
1247
#10
20.61.9
20.021.9
Auto7.2
Teleop8.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
33%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsEarned