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Red101
841034.6
345120.8
50128.2
Blue108
264836.3
676219.6
632966.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6112550100150200101108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.61.7
26.728.4
Auto11.4
Teleop15.9
End7.2
blue by 32.3
66.80.1
61.561.4
Auto16.5
Teleop40.8
End9.3
Second
501
#34
28.21.7
18.520.3
Auto5.1
Teleop14.8
End8.3
blue by 8.1
2648
#17
36.30.1
31.931.8
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End7.0
Third
3451
#29
20.81.7
19.921.6
Auto6.1
Teleop9.6
End5.1
red by 1.2
6762
#19
19.60.1
15.915.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsEarned41%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned