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Red82
234242.5
183117.5
905520.0
Blue70
345120.8
359730.1
731416.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65642040801008270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.7
33.934.7
Auto13.8
Teleop20.2
End8.6
red by 12.4
3597
#16
30.10.7
25.926.5
Auto8.2
Teleop13.6
End8.2
Second
9055
#14
20.00.7
14.315.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End7.5
blue by 0.8
3451
#29
20.80.7
21.622.3
Auto6.1
Teleop9.6
End5.1
Third
1831
#28
17.50.7
12.913.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End7.1
red by 0.9
7314
#41
16.60.7
12.413.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsEarned